CSHP Medicaid-Related Research & Evaluation Portfolio
Evaluating the Impacts of NJ Section 1115 Demonstrations
Since 2012, Rutgers Center for State Health Policy (CSHP) has served as the independent evaluator for the NJ FamilyCare Comprehensive Demonstration, a Section 1115 Medicaid waiver demonstration initiative developed by the New Jersey Division of Medical Assistance and Health Services (DMAHS) and approved by the US Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) for three successive periods – 2012-2017, 2017-2022 (extended to March 2023), and 2023-2028.
Distinguished Professor Joel Cantor serves as principal investigator for the demonstration evaluation, with co-investigators among the Center’s faculty and associates (currently including Ann Nguyen, John Palatucci, Hillary Samples, Amanda Spishak-Thomas, and Dan Treglia). Until 2023, the evaluation was led by Sujoy Chakravarty. Please contact Jennifer Farnham, Research Manager, with any questions about the evaluation.
Long-term evaluation and learning through waiver demonstrations helped support New Jersey’s continuous aims of enhancing the accessibility, quality, and cost-effectiveness of care under its Medicaid program. In turn, this work has made CSHP appreciate the challenges in achieving these improvements and seek analyses to help identify paths toward progress. These evaluations also enhanced CSHP’s experience and capacity in drawing on large Medicaid data files to help contribute to the knowledge base on Medicaid innovation across the nation.
The §1115 demonstrations have been central to the evolution of New Jersey’s Medicaid program. CSHP’s evaluations of these waivers have informed Medicaid policy and bolstered the Center’s analytic capacity and partnership with the state.
Current Waiver Evaluation: 2023-2028
CSHP has been selected by DMAHS to evaluate the 1115 NJ FamilyCare Waiver Demonstrations. The current evaluation was approved by the NJ Department of Human Services, Division of Medical Assistance and Health Services and then by CMS on October 16, 2025.
New Jersey’s Demonstration operates under §1115 waiver authority, subject to Special Terms and Conditions (STC), which set out requirements of the evaluation. The approved Evaluation Plan and supporting documentation can be found here.
The table below describes the thirteen components of the current NJ FamilyCare Waiver Evaluation approved by CMS. The first twelve components represent expansions to NJ FamilyCare’s usual benefits and eligibility criteria. The last component synthesizes an analysis of costs, spending, and savings related to all expansion components. CMS may add other components to this waiver evaluation in the future.
Table of Waiver Components: 2023-2028
Component | Description |
| Adjunct Services Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) Pilot | Added services are offered to enhance community inclusion and engagement for beneficiaries. |
| Children’s Support Services Programs (CSSP) for children with severe emotional disturbance (SED) and intellectual and developmental disabilities (I/DD) | Includes two expansions: Disregarding parental income when determining Medicaid eligibility for children/youth with SED or I/DD, and implementation of existing waiver authority policies for children, youths, and young adults with I/DD. |
| Postpartum Eligibility Extension | Extends postpartum coverage from 60 days to 12 months without the requirement to redetermine eligibility after the end of pregnancy. |
| New Jersey Home Visiting Pilot (NJHV) Program | Supports pregnant or postpartum individuals and their families with New Jersey’s home visiting network, implemented by the NJ Department of Children and Families (NJDCF). |
| Medically Indicated Meals Pilot | Managed Care Organizations contract with meal preparation vendors to provide medically indicated meals to pregnant people with pre-existing or gestational diabetes. |
| Continuous Eligibility for MAGI Adults | Eligible beneficiaries aged 19 to 64 with incomes up to 138% FPL may remain enrolled for 12 months, regardless of income fluctuations. |
| Community Health Workers (CHW) Pilot Program | Medicaid Managed Care Organizations are building pilot programs utilizing CHWs to assist members at-risk of or with chronic conditions. |
| Tenancy and Housing Supports | Housing strategy that incorporates enhancements to infrastructure, coverage for additional services, and coordination across State and community resources involved in the provision of health and housing services. |
| Opioid Use Disorder (OUD)/Substance Use Disorder (SUD) Program | New Jersey’s OUD/SUD program has been extended to the current §1115 demonstration in combination with additional behavioral health services. |
| Adult IDD Services: Supports and Community Care Program | Extends ongoing policies and programs affecting adults with IDD, including the Supports Program and the Community Care Program (CCP). Allows access for youth ages 18-21 who are no longer eligible for educational benefits. |
| Managed Long-Term Services and Supports (MLTSS) Program | Extends community and facility-based long-term care services that were moved into managed care contracts, with enhanced respite, nutrition, and caregiver benefits. |
| Administrative Simplifications for LTSS | Qualified Income Trusts for higher-income individuals created a new eligibility pathway for long-term care services in home and community settings. Attestations allow lower-income individuals to qualify for Medicaid with reduced administrative burden. |
| Demonstration Cost Assessment | Analysis of administrative costs, utilization spending and savings, as well as uncompensated care expenditures and savings, as a result of the waiver programs. |
Past Waiver Evaluations
2017-2023
Key Components of the Evaluation
Articles and Presentations
- Lloyd, K., Chakravarty, S., Brownlee, S., Farnham, J. & Cantor, J.C. (2020). “Hospital Responses to DSRIP Program Reforms in New Jersey.” The American Journal of Accountable Care 8(2): 4-12.
Reports Not Yet Approved by CMS or NJ Medicaid; Dates Reflect Initial Submission to NJ Medicaid:
- Examining the Effect of the NJ FamilyCare Comprehensive Demonstration on Access to Care, Quality, and Cost of Care: Draft Summative Evaluation Report (August 2025, evaluation plan shown with interim report below)
- Draft Summative Evaluation of the NJ FamilyCare 1115 Substance Use Disorder Demonstration (March 2025, evaluation plan shown with interim report below)
Reports Approved by CMS or State:
- Analysis of the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) Continuous Coverage Provision to Examine Enrollment and Access to Care and Quality (August 2025, includes evaluation plan)
- Interim Evaluation of the NJ FamilyCare 1115 Substance Use Disorder Demonstration (August 2022, includes evaluation plan)
- Examining the Effect of the NJ FamilyCare Comprehensive Demonstration on Access to Care, Quality, and Cost of Care: Interim Evaluation Report (August 2022, includes evaluation plan)
- The NJ FamilyCare Section 1115 Opioid and Substance Use Disorder Demonstration Program: Midpoint Assessment (January 2022)
- A Final Evaluation of the New Jersey Delivery System Reform Incentive Payment (DSRIP) Program: Assessing Program Impact on Outcomes and Cost-Effectiveness (December 2021)
- Evaluation of the New Jersey DSRIP Program: Findings from the Third Round of Stakeholder Interviews (September 2020)
- Stakeholder Feedback on Implementation of the Managed Care Expansion in Long-Term Services and Supports (Round 3, June 2020)
2012-2017
Key Components of the Evaluation
Articles and Presentations
- Chakravarty, S., Lloyd, K., Farnham, J. & Brownlee, S. (2019). “Medicaid DSRIP in New Jersey: Tradeoffs between Broad Hospital Participation and Safety Net Viability.” Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 44(5): 789-806.
- Chakravarty S., and Lloyd K., "Evaluating the New Jersey Hospital DSRIP Program: Policy reforms in safety net delivery system transformation and financing", American Society of Health Economists Conference, Washington DC, 2019.
- Farnham, J., Chakravarty, S., Lloyd, K. Care Management for Long-Term Care Beneficiaries: New Jersey’s Move to Managed Care. Paper presented at “Consequences of Change in Healthcare for Organizations, Workers, and Patients,” a conference sponsored by the School of Management and Labor Relations at Rutgers University and the School of Industrial and Labor Relations at Cornell University, held at Rutgers January 9-11, 2019.
- Chakravarty S., DeLia D., Lloyd K., "Assessing the impact of state policies transitioning long term care services and supports from Fee-for-Service to managed care", American Society of Health Economists Conference, Atlanta, 2018.
- Chakravarty S, Lloyd K, Brownlee S, Farnham J., “A Midterm Assessment of the New Jersey DSRIP Program: Examining Implementation and Early Effects”, Poster Presentation, Academy Health Annual Research Meeting, Boston, 2016.
- Farnham, J., “Evaluation of Managed Long-Term Services and Supports (MLTSS).” Presentation to Good Care Collaborative, August 2015.
Reports for CMS
- A Summative Evaluation of the New Jersey DSRIP Program: Findings from Stakeholder Interviews, Hospital Surveys, Medicaid Claims Data, and Reported Quality Metrics (April 2018)
- Stakeholder Feedback on Implementation of the Managed Care Expansion in Long-Term Services and Supports (Second Round, June 2017)
- Examining the Effect of the NJ Comprehensive Waiver on Access to Care, Quality, and Cost of Care: Draft Final Evaluation Report (June 2017)
- Examining the Effect of the NJ Comprehensive Waiver on Access to Care, Quality, and Cost of Care: Draft Interim Evaluation Report (July 2016)
- A Midpoint Evaluation of the New Jersey DSRIP Program: Findings from Stakeholder Interviews, Hospital Survey, Medicaid Claims Data, and Reported Quality Metrics (September 2015)
- Initial Stakeholder Feedback on Implementation of the Managed Care Expansion in Long-Term Services and Supports (July 2015)
Federal and State Resources
Policy Focus: Highlights from Past Waivers
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State legislation in 2011 (P.L. 2011, Chapter 114) created a pilot project to assess the efficacy of ACOs in enhancing Medicaid’s cost-effectiveness through reducing utilization of expensive, but avoidable hospital care while enhancing the quality of community-based services. To incentivize providers to participate in the ACO demonstration, the state offered opportunities to share in savings generated by the ACOs if they achieved quality care targets.
The law sought to promote policy learning by understanding ACOs’ effectiveness in achieving quality and savings goals. Subsequently, state Medicaid officials approved three ACOs in Camden, Newark, and Trenton, and tapped CSHP for analytic expertise, given the methodological complexity involved in assessing the ACO pilot.
In 2012, CSHP recommended an approach to calculate ACO savings, with extensive consultation with state Medicaid officials. Analyses concluded that the three ACOs did not produce appreciable cost savings over the limited period of the demonstration, yet suggested that ACOs yielded benefits in meeting the health care needs of underserved populations.
Among other things, ACOs served as conveners and connectors among diverse health and social service providers in their communities. To preserve these benefits, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy signed a bill in January 2020 transitioning the three ACO pilots into formal Regional Health Hub (RHH) partnerships and adding a fourth RHH in Passaic County. Learn more about the health hubs here.
New Jersey’s decision to provide CSHP with Medicaid data as well as CSHP’s ability to produce rigorous findings established important precedents that served as the bedrock for future work. This initial analytic collaboration required navigating inherently complex legal, data security, and privacy concerns, which often impede such analytic arrangements between state Medicaid agencies and external research organizations.
CSHP’s access to New Jersey Medicaid data fortified an analytic partnership that has deepened since this first collaboration.
Articles & Presentations
- DeLia, D., & Yedidia, M. J. (2020). The Policy and Practice Legacy of the New Jersey Medicaid ACO Demonstration Project. Journal of Ambulatory Care Management, 43(1), 2–10.
- DeLia, D. (2017). Spending Carveouts Substantially Improve the Accuracy of Performance Measurement in Shared Savings Arrangements: Findings From Simulation Analysis of Medicaid ACOs. INQUIRY: The Journal of Health Care Organization, Provision, and Financing, 54.
- Cantor, J. "Achieving Better Care and Lower Costs in Health Care for Low-Income Populations." Public Health & Preventive Medicine Grand Rounds, Rutgers New Jersey Medical School, Newark, New Jersey, 2014.
- Chakravarty, S., Cantor, J., Tong, J. & DeLia, D. "Advancing New Jersey Safety Net ACOs: New Findings on Opportunities for Better Care and Lower Costs." State House Seminar, 2013.
- Cantor, J. "New Jersey Safety Net ACOs: New Findings on Opportunities for Better Care and Lower Costs." PICO New Jersey Conference, Promoting Good Care: Innovation and Organizing in Health Care, Newark, New Jersey, 2013.
- DeLia, D. "Statistical Risks in the Establishment of ACO Expenditure Savings." Seventh National Medicaid Congress, Arlington, Virginia, 2012.
- DeLia, D. "How Exactly Will Providers Be Held Accountable? Emerging Methods of ACO Performance Measurement." Corporate Research Group, Webinar, 2012.
- DeLia, D., Cantor, J. & Hoover, D. "Critical Issues in Performance Evaluation for Medicaid ACOs." Academy Health Annual Research Meeting, Seattle, Washington, 2011.
Reports
- DeLia, D., Kumar, R., Nova, J., Lloyd, K. & Goldin, D. (2018). "Spending and Utilization Indicators in the New Jersey Medicaid ACO Demonstration Project." Rutgers Center for State Health Policy.
- DeLia, D., Yedidia, M. & Lontok, O. (2018). "Update on ACO Operations and Care Management Strategies in the New Jersey Medicaid ACO Demonstration Project." Rutgers Center for State Health Policy.
- Cantor, J., Chakravarty, S., Tong, J., Yedidia, M., Lontok, O. & DeLia, D. (2014). "The New Jersey Medicaid ACO Demonstration Project: Seeking Opportunities for Better Care and Lower Costs among Complex Low-Income Patients." Rutgers Center for State Health Policy.
- Yedidia, M., Lonok, O. & Cantor, J. (2013). "Development of Medicaid Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) in Three New Jersey Communities." Rutgers Center for State Health Policy.
- DeLia, D. & Cantor, J. (2012). "Recommended Approach for Calculating Savings in the NJ Medicaid ACO Demonstration Project." Rutgers Center for State Health Policy.
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In the early 2000s, under then Center Co-Director and Research Professor Dr. Susan Reinhard, CSHP offered technical assistance to states that helped rebalance LTSS toward homes and communities. With the 2012-2017 §1115 demonstration, New Jersey policymakers launched a significant initiative to improve the state’s performance on this front.
In 2012, state Medicaid officials received federal approval of a demonstration waiver that, among other things, sought to transform Long Term Services and Supports (LTSS) delivery by moving it into managed care (MLTSS). LTSS involves assistance with daily living activities such as bathing and eating. The 2012 waiver demonstration aimed to advance the shift toward delivery of LTSS in home and community settings by assigning managed care organizations (MCOs) a management role.
The number and proportion of LTSS recipients receiving care in homes and communities grew dramatically over the decade of the two demonstrations. Importantly, by 2019, over half of the state’s Medicaid LTSS beneficiaries received assistance in homes and communities rather than in nursing homes or other institutions.
In addition to increased access to HCBS, per-person costs decreased with the transition to MLTSS. By 2019, per person, inflation-adjusted spending on HCBS by MCOs declined by about 20% compared to prior costs. The evaluation did not find that waiver demonstrations reduced HCBS quality; rather, an examination of multiple indicators suggested that quality remained consistent.
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In addition to MLTSS, CSHP evaluated the Delivery System Reform Incentive Program (DSRIP) embedded in the 2012-2017 waiver. DSRIP aimed to reward hospital-based networks that enhanced care access and improved quality and population health while lowering Medicaid costs. Evaluation found that DSRIP improved outcomes related to certain chronic health conditions, including hospitalization reductions and emergency department (ED) visits among those with asthma.
Dissemination of CSHP evaluation findings about New Jersey’s DSRIP experience helped inform a national movement to implement hospital pay-for-performance initiatives to advance population health and health equity. CSHP found in surveys and interviews that while NJ DSRIP largely achieved its health improvement goals, stakeholders identified the need to cover short-term costs to maintain financial viability of DSRIP initiatives, particularly in safety net hospitals.
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